Lodha Developers Limited
7,456words
52turns
10analyst exchanges
7executives
Management on call
Abhishek Lodha
Managing Director and Chief Executive
Sushil Kumar Modi
Executive Director, Finance
Sanjay Chauhan
Chief Financial Officer
Akshat Gupta
Deputy CEO – South & Central Mumbai
Nishant Bhasin
Deputy CEO – Luxury
Anand Kumar
Head of Investor Relations
Chintan Parikh
Co-Head of Investor Relations
Key numbers — 40 extracted
9%
10%
INR60 billion
INR205 billion
28%
6x
INR34.3 billion
20%
3.5x
0.23x
rs,
3.5%
Guidance — 20 items
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“The growth forecast for the fiscal year has been moderately trimmed down, but India's fundamentals are meaningfully stronger than in previous external shock episodes.”
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“And we believe that going forward, housing on the whole will be a net beneficiary of the situation in the Middle East, particularly as Indians remit less money out to the Middle East and Indians across the world look at India as a place where they would like to establish a permanent home or establishment.”
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“In FY '26, we did INR205 billion, a 28% CAGR.”
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“We added 12 projects with INR600 billion of GDV, 2.4x, our own guidance.”
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“The team is now slowly and gradually building out, and we expect to start operations in fiscal '27.”
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“As that connectivity gap closes, we expect price appreciation to accelerate and with it, our EBITDA margins on this land holding, which we expect to gradually move up to approximately 50%.”
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“We are now planning to develop about 1 gigawatt of powered shell capacity on a build-to-suit basis, on about 100 acres out of these 400 acres of land with incremental cost in 2026 terms of about INR100 billion to INR110 billion, largely self-funded from the ongoing land sales in the park, which we expect value to reach INR0.7 billion per acre over the next few years and total to generate over INR120 billion from fiscal '27 and onwards in land sales value.”
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“The estimated annual rental income from these existing assets will be about INR10 billion by fiscal '31, excluding any data center contribution.”
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“Thus, we target reaching 10x of the fiscal '26 rental number in the next 6 years.”
Abhishek Lodha
opening
“Our DevCo is on track to become debt-free over the next few years and any future debt in the business will be against rental income that the RentCo generates.”
Risks & concerns — 9 flagged
And unless there are some extraneous factors, for example, that environmental clearance issue, which affected last year, we don't see any risk to these launches.
— Abhishek Lodha
So Abhinav, difficult for us to predict how this whole Middle East thing will pan out, etcetera.
— Abhishek Lodha
We don't expect any persistent sort of single segment impact of this war, and we think it was just the shock of the event, and we expect things to normalize unless there is a persistent energy shock.
— Abhishek Lodha
Our assessment of the impact of construction cost increases has been currently running at approximately 3% to 5% of overall construction cost.
— Abhishek Lodha
This impact of 3% to 5% on construction cost, if it was to persist through the entire construction cycle of 3 years, it would give an impact on margin of about 1.7%.
— Abhishek Lodha
If it was to run for 6 months, which is, I would say, probably the more conservative view right now, you are talking about a very modest impact of roughly 0.35% of the sales value for those given projects.
— Abhishek Lodha
So right now, our assessment of the impact of the Middle East crisis on construction cost is that, yes, there has been some impact in select categories, but the overall impact on margin is very, very nominal.
— Abhishek Lodha
And I do understand that's about the reason why you're also saying that the pressure on business development next couple of years will be low, and therefore, they should moderate.
— Kunal Tayal
At the current time, we find that in spite of all the narrative around the impact of AI on job creation in the country, we are going to end up with white-collar jobs incomes growing at 9% to 10% per annum.
— Abhishek Lodha
Q&A — 10 exchanges
Speaking time
17
12
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
Opening remarks
Chintan Parikh
Thank you, Iqra, and good morning everyone. Welcome to Lodha Developers Q4 FY '26 Conference Call. Today, we have with us Mr. Abhishek Lodha, MD and CEO; Mr. Sushil Kumar Modi, Executive Director, Finance; Mr. Sanjay Chauhan, CFO; Mr. Akshat Gupta, Deputy CEO, South & Central Mumbai; Mr. Nishant Bhasin, Deputy CEO, Luxury; Mr. Anand Kumar, Head, Investor Relations. Now I would like to invite Abhishek to make his opening remarks. Over to you, Abhishek.
Abhishek Lodha
Thank you, Chintan. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. I'm sure you've had the opportunity to look at our investor presentation, and hence, I will not go through the detailed numbers. I will keep my remarks focused on what we think is strategically most important. And I'll use this time to give an overview of where the business stands, what we got right this year, our learnings and improvement areas and how we are thinking about the period going ahead. Starting with the macro backdrop. The global environment was particularly challenging last year. We started off with the India-Pakistan situation, followed by the U.S. tariffs and thereafter, the Middle East tensions. The current escalations in the Middle East have definitely injected uncertainty into global trade, financial conditions and particularly the energy markets. India is not immune. The growth forecast for the fiscal year has been moderately trimmed down, but India's fundamentals are meaningfully stronger t
Akshat Gupta
Thank you, Chintan. Thank you, Abhishek. Good morning, everyone. Let me now take you through Mumbai's South & Central market, especially how the market is shaping and the underlying demand trends that we are seeing in this market. This market continues to present a large and structurally growing opportunity for us with an estimated yearly size of over INR 400bn primary market and a healthy 15% CAGR since financial year 2022, driven by both volume and price growth. At the same time, as Abhishek suggested, the market is witnessing a shift towards branded developers with their share increasing from roughly 30% to about 40% over similar time period, underscoring rising consumer preference for trust, quality and execution. If we especially talk about our current position, we have been growing at a strong pace of 25%- plus CAGR in the South & Central Mumbai, primarily led by our residential portfolio, maintaining our market leadership with expanding market share. Our growth is anchored on fo
Nishant Bhasin
Thank you, Akshat. Good morning, everyone. Let me quickly take you through the luxury portfolio, how the segment is evolving and key drivers shaping performance. The share of INR50 crores plus residences has nearly doubled since financial year '24, increasing from 7% to 13% of the overall market. At the same time, supply remains highly constrained with Grade A developers contributing to 75% of the INR50 crores plus category and 100% of the INR100 crores plus category. What this essentially indicates is a clear consolidation and consumer preference towards branded, trusted developers at the top end. Against this background, we have made significant strides in South & Central market over the past few years, scaling from a relatively limited presence in INR100 crores plus segment to becoming the leading player by sales in the region with a growth trajectory of 30% CAGR since financial year '23. This has been driven by strong adoption across marquee micro markets such as Malabar Hill and W