Greenlam Industries Limited
5,291words
69turns
0analyst exchanges
3executives
Management on call
Saurabh Mittal
MANAGING DIRECTOR AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, GREENLAM INDUSTRIES
Ashok Sharma
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER – GREENLAM INDUSTRIES LIMITED
Saurabh
Mittal
Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Ashok Sharma – Chief Financial
Key numbers — 37 extracted
rs,
1,200 crore
550 crore
110%
5,000 crore
100 basis point
3,700 crore
40 crore
50 crore
28%
30%
100%
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Guidance — 12 items
Jeetu Panjab
opening
“Saurabh Mittal: We have talked about more than tripling the turnover on the basis of FY21 revenues which is 1,200 crores till FY27.”
Jeetu Panjab
opening
“You see a defined profit pool where you think you will be secure with and you will be comfortable getting there.”
Saurabh Mittal
opening
“So, in terms of ramp up we have budgeted third year in all the three category will reach the fair amount of utilization near to 100% of utilization.”
Saurabh Mittal
opening
“So, for the laminate and plywood we have budgeted in the 26 because the production will start in Q4 and for the particle board we have budgeted in 27 and ROC laminates will have the same ROC what it is as present currently what we have and for particle board we will have in the range of around as of now we are budgeting based upon as sir said the 25% to 28% within that it will be in the range of 20% to 24% and for the plywood also it will be in this range only around 20%, 22%.”
Saurabh Mittal
opening
“So, really I am not so sure when we enter the market where is the raw material cost, what is up with the sales prices, but as we see thing now with the Maths we have it probably will be in the banks 1% or 2% here or there depends on RM cost, ability to do value add which might take some time to reach a certain stage of value addition that is on the margin front.”
Saurabh Mittal
opening
“I do not have that right away, but clearly Europe if you take Western, Eastern Europe it will be the largest market worldwide for actually all wood panel industry products.”
Saurabh Mittal
opening
“Even for us if I were to combine UK, Eastern Europe, Western Europe will be a largest market now.”
Arvind
opening
“Because action I guess would be hitting the markets they are also I guess coming to the capital markets next year so I do not know whether raising money for the particle board I am not so aware of it?”
Saurabh Mittal
opening
“But I do know they have a particle board plant, but the capacities are smaller like I said earlier and the machines they have are slightly their operating cost will be higher than the new wage continuous lines.”
Abhishek Vora
opening
“Because you just mentioned about we have good tailwinds with the exports, but how do you see that going ahead, is this bump in the quarter or do you expect Q2 exports to be better than the Q1?”
Risks & concerns — 8 flagged
And then last question we wish you well, but therefore whatever reason those targets do not get achieved where do you see the source of per potential risk to get to those numbers?
— Jeetu Panjab
So, where do I see the source of risk there.
— Saurabh Mittal
So, really obviously the risk in anything and everything nothing is completely risk free ever, but we feel confident that we can get there.
— Saurabh Mittal
So, they have a little bit of difficult time there.
— Saurabh Mittal
If you look at Q1 the numbers are flooring have kind of inched up, realizations have improved, revenues have improved, losses have come down and veneers too we had challenges on the raw material side and some competitive pressure, but we believe that the numbers can come up at the peak we have gone up to 17%, 18% operating margin in the only veneer panel business and I think we will take some more time to kind of come to that segment.
— Saurabh Mittal
So, I think the exports to these countries have also kind of come at a pressure which gives us an opportunity to take some market share from there.
— Saurabh Mittal
As far as the right to win is concern so clearly for the last 15 years, 17 years our modern exports have been more based on a long term business model rather than a contract or pricing based or dispatched based model.
— Saurabh Mittal
So, do we see that as a risk obviously can happen tomorrow is the sea freight can collapse or oil collapse world can change.
— Saurabh Mittal
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Speaking time
32
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Opening remarks
Jeetu Panjab
Sir three questions one how do you define your core competitive advantage because you talk of tripling turnover in three years, what gives you the right to get there and the advantage to scale up over three years? Saurabh Mittal: We have talked about more than tripling the turnover on the basis of FY21 revenues which is 1,200 crores till FY27. So, like year we already added 550 crores into the turnover. So, if you ask me what gives us the confidence I think the network which you created both in domestic and international market, gives us the confidence that we can get the materials to the market, with the credibility of high quality products, clean approach, solid relationship with channel partners, architects ID we think we can do that. In the laminate space clearly we are running short of capacity, we are actually running nearly one year behind in capacity creation, we had gone to some other state there were some challenges when COVID came there were some delays. So, in laminates as
Saurabh Mittal
It went from 12 to 10 or ballpark 38 to 40 crore EBITDA per quarter gone to 48 to 50 crore EBITDA up to 16 quarter that is the broad take.
Management
So clearly if you see capacity of laminates unfortunately has not grown over the last two odd years and we have been faced with significant raw material cost increases and market have already been seated in and we do not have enough capacity at the moment to go and sell. So, clearly as we move ahead I think more capacity will help us sell more and our fixed cost will not increase, cost will go up at the contribution level and RM cost have already started softening at least on the chemical side. So, I think as we scale revenues. We feel margins will also improve in value and percent where we see thing at the moment.
Jeetu Panjab
You feel comfortable about the new segments you are getting and you feel comfortable over the profit pool there as well?
Saurabh Mittal
So, let us put this way in particle board every other companies are not so significant player and the people who report numbers their EBITDA are in the range of 28%, 30% with the smaller production base with the lower capacity with the lower efficiency of machines. So, I think with the right efficiencies, with the right operating cost we believe that can be achieved.
Jeetu Panjab
And then last question we wish you well, but therefore whatever reason those targets do not get achieved where do you see the source of per potential risk to get to those numbers?
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