DCM Shriram Limited
3,722words
67turns
0analyst exchanges
4executives
Management on call
Ajay Shriram
- Chairman and Senior Managing
Vikram Shriram
- Vice Chairman & Managing Director; Mr. Ajit
K.K. Kaul
Whole-time Director; and Mr.
Ajay Shriram And Mr. Vikram Shriram. Members Of The Audience Will Get An
Opportunity To Pose Their Queries To The Management Following These Comments
During The Interactive Question
and-answer session.
Key numbers — 30 extracted
60%
Rs. 110
10%
7.5%
Rs. 3,300 crore
Rs. 3,500 crore
Rs. 47 crore
Rs. 2,800 crore
Rs. 2,900 crore
Rs. 550 crore
120 megawatt
15%
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Guidance — 16 items
Ahmed Madha
opening
“And we do hope to get a premium of between 70 paise to 80 paise per kilo on the refined sugar vis-à-vis normal sulphated sugar.”
Amit Agarwal
opening
“I know that you may not have the longer-term view, but how do you see going forward for the next couple of quarters?”
Amit Agarwal
opening
“But we expect that this reaction of sharp drop in prices is possibly a knee jerk reaction.”
Amit Agarwal
opening
“One, I think the increase is primarily because there were more Capex added like for Fenesta extrusion plant, which will be about Rs.”
Amit Agarwal
opening
“We will be extracting potash from distillery ash, so that’s another new investment which is about 4,600 tons per annum.”
Ahmed Madha
opening
“So, what will be our peak net debt by the end of FY23 or whenever the CAPEX gets completed?”
Amit Agarwal
opening
“Just a simple question that chlorine so with the current capacity of caustic and then incremental 850 TPD, I am assuming that there will be some extra chlorine left after the use for aluminum chloride and ECH, so have we planned anything going forward for FY25 on this front?”
Amit Agarwal
opening
“Going forward this 40% broadly we should be able to maintain which is through pipelines and this 4% captive will move up to over 10% after the entire complex get expanded both on epichlorohydrin as well as 850 TPD.”
Ajit Shriram
opening
“So, the world actually is seeing India as a supplier for the world market and as we saw last year or in the ongoing sugar season our exports are roughly 9.5 to 10 million tons on all India basis andwe do expect that in the next sugar year also the exports will be roughly 10.5 to 8.5 million ton from India.”
Pratiksha Daftari
opening
“My next question is on caustic, you mentioned that we expect margins to normalize in next two quarters, so just wanted to understand your perspective on demand scenario going ahead and whether do we expect any serious change in global supply in next few quarters?”
Risks & concerns — 10 flagged
PVC prices are seeing a very sharp decline.
— Amit Agarwal
In fact, the decline started somewhere in the month of February when the anti-dumping duty on imports from China was removed.
— Amit Agarwal
So, the prices should look up then and that's really difficult to predict at this point of time.
— Amit Agarwal
The Brazil crop is undergoing stress and as mentioned in the opening remarks because of oil prices a large part of the crop has been diverted to ethanol.
— Ajit Shriram
And how about demand, have we seen any slowdown in demand specially from sectors like textile or paper?
— Pratiksha Daftari
The challenge always is one is in Europe one is seeing that the energy prices are going up a lot and that’s having a very major impact.
— Ajay Shriram
Yes, because of the delayed monsoon, the acreage under paddy and the coarse crops has declined and its possibly that we may see a decline in this sowing in paddy.
— K.K. Kaul
But paddy overall possibly be a decline in the crushing.
— K.K. Kaul
So, cotton seeds apparently are also good in quality but there is a significant shift to that from the branded products to the non-branded so, the illegal cotton continues to be a challenge for us.
— K.K. Kaul
Caustic soda fortunately we are not having that sort of pressure coming in from China.
— Ajay Shriram
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Speaking time
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Opening remarks
Ahmed Madha
Our percentage or refined sugar, as a Company, was much lower than our peers. And we will increase our refined sugar production to roughly 60% of capacity. And we do hope to get a premium of between 70 paise to 80 paise per kilo on the refined sugar vis-à-vis normal sulphated sugar. The next question is on the PVC side, the vinyl business as you call it. So, Q4FY22 realization were close to 135 - 140, then current quarter it was close to 128 - 130. What we see as of now is the prices are almost at Rs. 110 or may maybe below that. So, how is your outlook on the PVC demand dynamics in this country and
Amit Agarwal
especially the increase in the imports of China? I know that you may not have the longer-term view, but how do you see going forward for the next couple of quarters? Yes. You're right. PVC prices are seeing a very sharp decline. In fact, the decline started somewhere in the month of February when the anti-dumping duty on imports from China was removed. And then in May the customs duty was reduced further from 10% to 7.5%. But in the last 2 weeks or so beginning of July, we have seen some very sharp declines in the prices. And today, prices are pretty low. But obviously, the demand is still holding. But unfortunately, we have large imports coming from China. The consumption in China has dropped because of the real estate. PVC is a construction polymer. So, the real estate in China is badly hit, and in turn, they are pushing large quantities into the markets in India. But we expect that this reaction of sharp drop in prices is possibly a knee jerk reaction. The fundamentals of the cost h
Amit Agarwal
It will depend on the cash flows but my sense is approximately net debt should be around 1,500 crore by end of FY23.
Amit Agarwal
Just a simple question that chlorine so with the current capacity of caustic and then incremental 850 TPD, I am assuming that there will be some extra chlorine left after the use for aluminum chloride and ECH, so have we planned anything going forward for FY25 on this front? So, my current chlorine consumption if I look at Bharuch and if I exclude hydrochloric acid then my current consumption in Bharuch is about 5% captive and in Kota is about 30% captive. In Bharuch I also supply at current level almost 40% of my chlorine is through pipelines. Going forward this 40% broadly we should be able to maintain which is through pipelines and this 4% captive will move up to over 10% after the entire complex get expanded both on epichlorohydrin as well as 850 TPD. So, that’s the current captive consumption. But we definitely are looking at some more investments in chlorine downstream to increase our captive consumption. So, those are being looked at.
Pratiksha Daftari
My first question is on sugar division. If you could just give the details of sugar production for the whole season that we finished in this quarter and what would be the valuation of the inventory at the end of 30th June?
Amit Agarwal
For this year our total crush was about 549 lakh quintals, our production was close to about 54-55 lakh quintals and our inventory valuation was at about 3,307.
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