CIE Automotive India Limited
9,274words
51turns
2analyst exchanges
1executives
Management on call
Basudeb Banerjee
ICICI SECURITIES
Key numbers — 40 extracted
63.44%
65.71%
9.25%
11.43%
INR14,294 million
34%
12%
rs,
15%
11.4%
10.8%
11.1%
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Guidance — 20 items
Vikas Sinha
opening
“As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen only mode.”
Vikas Sinha
opening
“And there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.”
Vikas Sinha
opening
“In India, the month of September has seen good sales across all segments, especially 4-wheelers, and we largely expect this trend to continue.”
Vikas Sinha
opening
“We are confident that just like the energy impact in Q1 C'22, we will be partially able to get some of these increases through our customers in the coming quarters.”
Jinesh Gandhi
qa
“Firstly, can you talk about the impact of energy prices in Europe in this quarter and what we expect in the coming quarter?”
Ander Alvarez
qa
“So you saw a certain impact on the Q3 margins, and we expect to recuperate, at least partially, in the next quarters.”
Ander Alvarez
qa
“My view is that probably there will be a certain slowdown on the economy until the final solution is reached.”
Ander Alvarez
qa
“And on the other side of the outlook for light vehicle production, which we have given from IHS that talks of decline in CY'22 as well as a sub-3% CAGR over the next 3, 4 years.”
Ander Alvarez
qa
“What is your sense with respect to what kind of a group can we expect in Europe, going forward?”
Ander Alvarez
qa
“So how do you see growth, going forward?”
Risks & concerns — 15 flagged
MCIE India EBITDA margin in Q3 C'22 is 15% despite the adverse impact of commodity prices, RM prices, as also an increase in the cost of energy in Maharashtra, where many of our plants are located.
— Vikas Sinha
However, historically, due to the cyclicality in the tractor demand, we could see a slight slowdown after the festive period in this segment.
— Vikas Sinha
And also, we would like to mention that in this quarter, there was a negative exchange rate translation impact of about 11%.
— Vikas Sinha
On the demand side, even though the customer schedules have not decreased, it is very uncertain as to what impact energy prices will have in Q4 C'22 due to the Ukraine war situation.
— Vikas Sinha
Firstly, can you talk about the impact of energy prices in Europe in this quarter and what we expect in the coming quarter?
— Jinesh Gandhi
But that is the impact of the energy prices in Europe in all the industry.
— Ander Alvarez
And do you also foresee a risk on continuity of operations because of availability of power or energy in fourth quarter?
— Ander Alvarez
Or that is definitely not a concern cost is the only concern?
— Ander Alvarez
In this moment, we don't see that risk or let's say that we are producing normally, we have availability of electricity and gas in all our operations in this moment.
— Ander Alvarez
My view is that probably there will be a certain slowdown on the economy until the final solution is reached.
— Ander Alvarez
But, okay, the risk and the uncertainty is there.
— Ander Alvarez
And on the other side of the outlook for light vehicle production, which we have given from IHS that talks of decline in CY'22 as well as a sub-3% CAGR over the next 3, 4 years.
— Ander Alvarez
So there is a risk of that could happen.
— Ander Alvarez
Probably it's more cyclical, and we expect certain decline in the next quarters, we could foresee that.
— Nikhil Kale
So the evolution of this business is more and more difficult, okay.
— Nikhil Kale
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Q&A — 2 exchanges
Speaking time
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Opening remarks
Vikas Sinha
Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Mahindra CIE Limited Q3 CY 2022 Post Results Conference Call, hosted by ICICI Securities. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen only mode. And there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call please signal an operator by pressing ‘*’ then ‘0’ on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Basudeb Banerjee from ICICI Securities. Thank you, and over to you, sir. Thanks to Mahindra CIE management for giving us the opportunity to host the call. We have with us Mr. Ander Alvarez, CEO of Mahindra CIE; Mr. K. Jayaprakash, CFO; Mr. Vikas Sinha, Senior Vice President, Strategy; Mr. Oroitz Lafuente, Business Controller; and Swapnil Soudagar, DGM Strategy. So over to you, Vikas, for your initial comments, and we'll take the call ahead accordingly. Yes. Thanks, Basudeb. Go
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