AIAENGNSENovember 18, 2022

AIA Engineering Limited

8,682words
132turns
12analyst exchanges
2executives
Management on call
Kunal Shah
AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED
Sanjay Majmudar
AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED
Key numbers — 40 extracted
Rs. 167
factored in into these numbers with a netted average realization for the quarter coming at about Rs. 167. That's where a lot of this pass through in terms of shipping costs, raw materials has now been
1,300 crore
ipping costs, raw materials has now been baked in these numbers and that has taken our numbers to 1,300 crores, about 1,311.59 crores and which is up from about 871 crores in the second quarter last year.
1,311.59 crore
terials has now been baked in these numbers and that has taken our numbers to 1,300 crores, about 1,311.59 crores and which is up from about 871 crores in the second quarter last year. I think the rest of the
871 crore
and that has taken our numbers to 1,300 crores, about 1,311.59 crores and which is up from about 871 crores in the second quarter last year. I think the rest of the numbers are broadly in line. Our raw ma
344 crore
the second quarter last year largely reflecting the pass through that have come. Our EBITDA is at 344 crores which about 25.9% and profit after tax at 244.81 crores, up from 137.59 in the second quarter la
25.9%
year largely reflecting the pass through that have come. Our EBITDA is at 344 crores which about 25.9% and profit after tax at 244.81 crores, up from 137.59 in the second quarter last year. I think
244.81 crore
ass through that have come. Our EBITDA is at 344 crores which about 25.9% and profit after tax at 244.81 crores, up from 137.59 in the second quarter last year. I think just finishing off a few housekeeping
29.72 crore
line and little higher than first quarter reflecting the higher export. Treasury income is about 29.72 crores and then balance is foreign exchange adjustments. To the net other income in this quarter at 32
32 crore
ores and then balance is foreign exchange adjustments. To the net other income in this quarter at 32 crores up from 20 in the first quarter this year and 35 crores, down from 35.72 in the second quarter
35 crore
o the net other income in this quarter at 32 crores up from 20 in the first quarter this year and 35 crores, down from 35.72 in the second quarter last year. I think working capital is largely in line.
rs,
d largely flat from 44,000 half year last year to 46,500 half year this year. From half year numbers, we've grown from 129,000 tons to about 146,000 tons for H1 this year. A few more; our net cash e
2,050 crore
ns to about 146,000 tons for H1 this year. A few more; our net cash end of the quarter is about 2,050 crores. There's net of some debt and some extra cash that we have got, gross cash is higher but there's
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Guidance — 20 items
Kunal Shah
qa
I think our guidance would be closer to 78-80 going forward and our receivable days are at about 64 but they will also be normalized around 70-72.
Kunal Shah
qa
Net cash in the 2,050 crores and we probably we expect that will stabilize with a lot of working capital deployment over the last 2 years given the inflation that kicked in and just a higher value of our working capital of our stock.
Kunal Shah
qa
I think all of that will also stabilize going forward.
Kunal Shah
qa
At the peak of this arrangement, we expect to get between 3,000 and 4,000 tons a month from them.
Kunal Shah
qa
At which time it will be about 50%-60% of our requirement between this year and next, maybe a little more.
Kunal Shah
qa
But again that will be determined by a host of factors but we have had a lot of questions asking us more about it but it is actually a simple, they needed cash infusion in that business to stabilize their operations and they will get visibility on sales of their product while we get almost a captive producer and this being a critical strategic raw material we just felt more comfortable having a partner who's doing it for us.
Kunal Shah
qa
We've extended 125 crores secured loan to them and at a 10.5% yield, so to that extent we are well protected not just on the coupon on that but also on the security against those assets and which will be more than adequately compensated in terms of the supply arrangement that we're looking at.
Kunal Shah
qa
There may be more such as cost change and that's something that as a business as a company will be well organized to support and gear up for.
Kunal Shah
qa
There's another 50 crores that we plan to spend on the line of plan for supporting infrastructure in the pattern storage etc.
Kunal Shah
qa
We've done about 112 crores till September this year and the plan is to do another 160-170 crores for the rest of the year or some may spill over to the next year.
Risks & concerns — 8 flagged
Shipping costs are volatile particularly trending downwards.
Kunal Shah
It's difficult for us to exactly pinpoint where those margins will ultimately reside.
Kunal Shah
We believe that going forward we should be able to, we might see of decline in terms of average realization though it is a bit difficult for us right now to predict exactly how much it will be.
Sanjay Majmudar
I don't think that looks too much of a challenge as of now.
Kunal Shah
The exact number may be difficult but definitely higher than what we did last year.
Sanjay Majmudar
While now of late we have started seeing the correction in commodities and trade costs, etc., would it be possible to see obviously in the second half there will be a decline in realizations because of this same aspect.
Bhumika Nair
We have been always cautious about this that in our business it always takes more time for us to convert the customer because the mind is more concerned with the cost controls rather than the benefit alone that can come on table hence therefore it is taking time.
Sanjay Majmudar
Now the cement part of your business, as we all know last few years cement industry has undergone very difficult times, as well as it is a cyclical business as well.
Amarnath
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Q&A — 12 exchanges
Q
Yes, hi thank you for the introduction. Very good evening to everyone. This is Kunal and I also have Sanjay bhai with me here, pardon my voice today. I think Sanjay bhai will do most of the talking. We are very happy to report probably one of our best quarters ever in this quarter with 78,500 tons sales over a production of 80,000 tons. That's up from about 69,000 tons of sales second quarter last year but also up from 68,000 tons sequentially from first quarter of this year. Most of the pass-throughs in terms of cost inflation has now been factored in into these numbers with a netted average
Sanjay Majmudar
Thanks Kunal and good evening to all of you. So, as we can all see it was a fairly satisfactory quarter, both in terms of the volume growth as well as the overall margins. But as Kunal has cautioned yes going forward, we believe that the peak level pricing has already reached, so probably there could be a little bit of softening as the raw material prices rate has already gone down, started going down. We believe that going forward we should be able to, we might see of decline in terms of average realization though it is a bit difficult for us right now to predict exactly how much it will be.
Q
Firstly, on the volume side we almost had done almost 1 lakh ton in the first half in mining. Is the growth driven by new mine additions or ramp up at the older mines only? How should one look at it?
Kunal Shah
This is new mines. The growth is coming from new mines. Any particular minerals are doing very well for any other let’s say gold or copper or something which is doing very well for us in the first half? 15,000 in this growth is not that large to really draw patterns from. But clearly gold and copper remain metal of interest. Gold? Copper and gold both. Finally, now that probably you have done 146,000 tons in the first half. We probably are on track of delivering 30,000 tons incrementing this year right? Yes. You obviously mentioned, so like realizations have gone up because of this whole commo
Q
Just a couple of clarification from the last question. You said the mill lining volume will be 10,000 metric tons this year.
Sanjay Majmudar
No, orders will be 10,000 invoicing maybe… We are just trying to give him answer directionally that he asked the question that because the mill got started now, you will go out and take orders. I said we've already started to get orders of more than 10,000 tons, invoicing may not happen this year. Some of it will spill into the next year. So, Dhavan just to elaborate. We are already selling mill liner. Now we have shifted to this dedicated plant and volumes should go up. It will be definitely higher than annual what we did last year. The exact number may be difficult but definitely higher than
Q
Sir, sorry to just harp upon this realization bit. Very accurately you said that we are clearly seeing the benefit in terms of the better pass through, which is reflected in our realization. While now of late we have started seeing the correction in commodities and trade costs, etc., would it be possible to see obviously in the second half there will be a decline in realizations because of this same aspect. But as things stand today on spot basis what would be the gap in terms of the pass through versus what today is in terms of spot of ferrochrome or in terms of scrap or logistics cost, etc.
Kunal Shah
Bhumika, which is where we've already shared our long-term margin of 20%-22%. And things ultimately even out at that level, right? It doesn't serve any purpose to tell you this quarter I've got 15 crores extra or in our next quarter it could, correct? I mean the math we can do but it does not help us because in any case our pricing is going to be a function of my cost and we aspire, and we work to make sure we keep a margin like Sanjay explained at 20%-22% margin. It does us no good to know whether next quarter will be 155 or 140. Yes, my absolute margin can change with that but it's fait acco
Q
Hi sir. Congrats on a very good set of numbers ahead of what we have expected from you. Of course, the market condition has helped you as you explained. I have two questions on this. First of all, you said that you aspire to grow 30,000 a little bit here and there, on a year-to-year basis. So, for the next two to three years if we assume that this is going to be the case, do you have the adequate capacity to execute that kind of growth for next two-three-four years?
Sanjay Majmudar
Absolutely. So that is your first question. Should I answer that, or we will take question by question. Okay let me answer that. So, first as you would have seen my rated capacity today installed capacity today is 440,000 tons. I'm operating roughly at about 70%-72% average capacity utilization as we speak. We are also adding another 80,000 tons of brownfield expansion for grinding media which is our core volume-based product at the same location that is at GIDC Kerala which is close to Ahmedabad. And that will take me to about 520,000 tons. So, today assuming that today I reached somewhere ar
Q
One of my queries would be, can you just I think I have missed out the point. Can you just repeat that the secured line 125 crores of that SAL thing which we have been discussing at? It is a 3,000 tons in the incremental right from the SAL which we have been doing, backward integration?
Sanjay Majmudar
I'll just quickly explain. One, this company is manufacturing ferrochrome in Gujarat. They have a plant where their peak capacity can go up to 4,000 tons. What we have done we have entered into a contract with them whereby the entire capacity they are reserving for us with a minimum period of 3 years and therefore for us it's a raw material security. It's a raw material security and it's a very comfortable kind of an arrangement that we have entered into and since they have dedicated their entire plant, we have paid them a secured security deposit with is interest bearing of 125 crores at 10%
Q
Two questions. One, on the post opening up the travel restrictions were still there and the client conversions were delayed and all. If you can just highlight how are the things on the new client conversion, travels and all?
Sanjay Majmudar
Things are very much back to normal. Frankly we have all forgotten about COVID. So, traveling there is no restriction, our people are able to travel to most of the mining locations without any problem and that is the reason why over last 6 months we have been sounding a little more confident about going back to the growth we had incremental volume trajectory. One of the other elements was like on the competitive landscape because of this higher shipping cost and all we might have lost some volume to the competition with this current reduction in the shipping cost and all. Are you winning back
Q
Since this arrangement is there for ferrochrome will be having some benefit because of this on the gross margin also like let's say getting some discount from the market pricing and all those things?
Kunal Shah
I think this is the agreement, the purpose of the agreement is supply chain and that’s we will have to look at it from that standpoint. The annual capacity with this plant is 48,000 metric tons, correct? We can keep sharing more information not material to the scheme of things. I think all we are trying to say is that we would like to protect the supply chain by offering a secure loan. 3,000- 4,000-2,000 there are lot of variables linked to that and as a practice now we are not sharing more information around it. Secondly in terms of the other income like the current run rate of other income w
Q
I have three questions. So, should I ask all at one go or should I ask one by one?
Sanjay Majmudar
Whatever makes you comfortable. We have no issue. The first question is on the margin. Sorry to labor on that point. What I understand from the call is you are maxed out on the selling price. But how about the absolute EBITDA reported will be more or less protected and go forward the margin expansion will come more in terms of the volume and the mixed increase. Is that a fair understanding? Yes of course. I am making it clear disclaimer that as a matter of policy we are not giving any guidance about the margins but your understanding is broadly correct. The second question is that you have a s
Q
Actually, I missed one question last time. You said that you are going for an investment for this power plant and for your I think renewable energy. Can you elaborate a little on that, that by doing that are you going to save some of your electricity and energy costs? And second related question is how is your outlook as a company towards the ESG side regarding decarbonization related target and how much investments or something you are planning for that because the industry you are operating at, at an international level the foreign investors including us; we all look at that ESG compliant pa
Kunal Shah
Absolutely very conscious on the ESG footprint that a company has. It's a regular feature and conversation at the board level and which is where we started our journey for renewable power. So, end of ‘22, about 20% March ‘22 about 20%-22% of our power 23% of our power came from renewable sources. The idea is to take it up to 30%-35%. That's how the policy allows today. It was our choice. We would have done all possible. There's a limitation on how much captive renewable offsite one can set up. We will do all that is possible within the current regulation to migrate on the renewable side. In ad
Q
There is a news article that the government is trying to revive the Kolar Gold Fields in Karnataka. So, just wanted to know is that an immediate opportunity for AIA or it's like a long term and also what would be the potential?
Sanjay Majmudar
So, Mr. Raja frankly our market is actually worldwide. The volumes outside India are much larger. All our efforts are actually for mining concentrated outside India. Having said that if any such opportunity does in fact come, we will look at it.
Q
Thank you all once again and Sanjay bhai and I remain available offline for any further clarification. Thank you so much and have a great evening.
Management
Speaking time
Kunal Shah
35
Sanjay Majmudar
30
Moderator
13
Dhavan Shah
13
Amarnath
13
Ashutosh Tiwari
11
Raja Kumar B
6
Gopal Nawandhar
4
Bhumika Nair
3
Ujain Shah
3
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