Sona Blw Precision Forgings Limited has informed the Exchange about Investor Presentation
Q3 & 9M FY23 Earnings Presentation
24 January 2023
Disclaimer
This presentation and the accompanying slides (the “Presentation”), which have been prepared by Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. (the “Company”), have been prepared solely for information purposes and do not constitute any offer, recommendation or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities, and shall not form the basis or be relied on in connection with any contract or binding commitment whatsoever. No offering of securities of the Company will be made except by means of a statutory offering document containing detailed information about the Company.
This Presentation has been prepared by the Company based on information and data which the Company considers reliable, but the Company makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, whatsoever, and no reliance shall be placed on, the truth, accuracy, completeness, fairness and reasonableness of the contents of this Presentation. This Presentation may not be all inclusive and may not contain all of the information that you may consider material. Any liability in respect of the contents of, or any omission from, this Presentation is expressly excluded.
Certain matters discussed in this presentation may contains certain forward-looking statements concerning the Company’s future business prospects and business profitability. Such forward- looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the Company’s ability to manage growth, the fluctuations in earnings, competition (both domestic and international), economic growth in India and abroad, ability to attract and retain highly skilled professionals, time and cost over runs on contracts, the Company’s ability to manage its international operations, Government policies and actions regulations, interest and other fiscal costs generally prevailing in the economy. The Company does not undertake to make any announcement in case any of these forward-looking statements become materially incorrect in future or update any forward-looking statements made from time to time by or on behalf of the Company.
© Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (Sona Comstar). Reproduction and distribution of this Presentation without the permission of Sona Comstar is prohibited.
2
Our Management
Mr. Kiran Manohar Deshmukh Group CTO
Mr. V. Vikram Verma CEO, Driveline Business
Mr. Sat Mohan Gupta CEO, Motor Business
Mr. Rohit Nanda Group CFO
Mr. Vivek Vikram Singh MD & Group CEO
Mr. Amit Mishra Head, Investor Relations
3
Q3 FY23 Financial Performance Highlights
6,850 mn | 39%
1,862 mn | 43%
1,071 mn | 45%
Revenue | YoY Growth
EBITDA | YoY Growth
PAT | YoY Growth1
27.2% EBITDA Margin
15.6% PAT Margin
1,733 mn | 29%
BEV Revenue | YoY Growth
26% Q3 FY23 Revenue Share
from BEV
Notes: 1.
Excluding exceptional income of Q3 FY22
4
9M FY23 Financial Performance Highlights
19,316 mn | 22%
4,944 mn | 17%
2,755 mn | 18%
Revenue | YoY Growth
EBITDA | YoY Growth
PAT | YoY Growth1
25.6% EBITDA Margin
14.3% PAT Margin
CY21
CY22
CY21
CY22
6.3%
7.2%
4.6%
4.1%
Global Market Share of Differential Gears2
Global Market Share of Starter Motors3
Notes: 1. 2. 3.
Excluding exceptional income of Q1 & Q3 FY22 As per Ricardo’s market size estimates for CY21 & CY22 Across light vehicles; as per Ricardo’s market size estimates for CY21 & CY22
5
Update on our Strategic Priorities
Net formed differential gears coming out of our forging press
Update on our Strategic Priorities
Electrification
Global Market Significance
Diversification
Technology
7
Sizeable and Increasing Presence in EVs
25%
4,670 mn
31%
9M FY23 Revenue Share
9M FY23 BEV segment
9M FY23 BEV revenue
from BEV
revenue
YoY growth
37 (10+27)1
EV Programs1 awarded across
23 customers as at the end of
Q2 FY23
+4
41 (10+31)1
EV Programs1 awarded across
25 customers as at the end of
Q3 FY23
Notes: 1.
Include only BEV and PHEV programs currently in serial production as well as in the orderbook; numbers in brackets to be read as (# of programs in serial production + # of programs in orderbook)
8
41 EV programs across 251 different customers
No. of programs customers
22 10
3
3
-
-
9
3
8
3
4
4
-
-
North America 4 Customers 3 11
8
11
+2
Europe2 5 Customers 1 5
6 2
7
Asia 4 Customers 2 2 3 1
4
Programs in serial production
Programs in orderbook
Programs for geartrain components
Programs for traction motors, IMCM and PHEV starters
Programs for e-Axle
19
+2
India 15 Customers 4 7
15 9
+2
3
+x denotes the change during Q3 FY23
Notes: 1. 2.
2 customers are present in more than one geography Europe geography includes the UK
9
2 significant EV program wins in Q3 along with the introduction of a new EV product
Electronically Locking Differential for Electric SUVs
Differential Assembly for Electric Cars
Global OEM of EVs
US-European OEM of PVs & EVs
₹ 33,500 mn
addition in our orderbook
H2 FY24
SOP Year
₹ 3,600 mn
addition in our orderbook
H2 FY24
SOP Year
10
Electrification: Our Approach to Market
Power Rating
> 600 kW
300 – 600 kW
100 – 300 kW
40 – 100 kW
15 – 40 kW
5 – 15 kW
<5 kW
Driveline Solutions
Core Strength: High Torque, High Power Density
Commercial
Personal
EV Products
Motor Solutions
Core Strength: Low Voltage, High Power Density
Personal
Commercial
Epicyclic Geartrain
Spool Gears
EDL
Final Drive assembly
Differential assemblies
PHEV Starter Motors
Differential gears
SRM Motor
Controllers
E-Axles
Drive Motors
Hub-wheel Motors
In serial production or in orderbook
To be added between CY23-25
11
Our Strategic Priorities
Electrification
Global Market Significance
Diversification
Technology
12
With new wins of ₹42 billion our net order book1 grows to ₹238 billion (11.2x FY22 revenue)
205 bn
Orderbook at the end of Q2 FY23
9 bn
Orders consumed from matured and ramp-up programs during Q3 FY23
42 bn
Orders added for programs won in Q3 FY23
238 bn
Orderbook at the end of Q3 FY23
EV Rs. 174 Billion (73%)
Non-EV Rs. 64 Billion (27%)
# of Programs
# of Customers
64% 17 8
PV
8% 10 9
1% 4 4
10% 29 13
11% 23 8
6% 44 16
2W &3W
CV &OHV
PV
CV
OHV
Notes: 1.
Net order book means the aggregate revenue from awarded programs which are either yet to start production or are yet to fully ramp up, in the next 10 years, after adjusting for the negative impact of all programs that are expected to reach end of life or be phased out. We have also applied a discount to accommodate any unforeseen delays or changes in program launches that may happen in the future.
13
We are supplying to most of the major global OEMs
7 of the world’s top 10 PV OEMs1a
5 of the world’s top 15 EV OEMs1c
3 of the world’s top 10 CV OEMs1b
4 of the Indian top 15 Indian e-2-Wheeler OEMs1d
7 of the world’s top 10 tractor OEMs1b
Global Market Share of Differential Gears2
Global Market Share of Starter Motors2
CY19
4.5%
CY20
5.0%
CY21
6.3%
CY22
7.2%
CY19
2.5%
CY20
3.0%
CY21
4.6%
CY22
4.1%
Notes: 1. 2.
Data Source: a) BofA Global Automobiles Report; b) Ricardo Report; c) EV-Volumes; d) Vahan Database; Company Analysis As per Ricardo’s market size estimates; starter motor market share across light vehicles
14
Our Strategic Priorities
Electrification
Global Market Significance
Diversification
Technology
15
Diversified Revenue Mix – By Powertrain
Battery EV increasing as a % of our revenue continues to be our dominant and secular theme
Our pure ICE dependence continues to reduce steadily going from 25% in FY21 to 17% in 9M FY23
FY20
FY21
FY22
9M FY23
2%
29%
42%
27%
14%
27%
34%
25%
25%
26%
31%
18%
25%
20%
38%
17%
Battery EV
Micro-hybrid / Hybrid
Power source Neutral
ICE Dependent
16
Diversified Revenue Mix
By Geography
1%
18%
By Product
1% 1%
3%
33%
17%
27%
22%
FY22
FY22
26%
7%
1%
25%
3% 2%
4%
26%
23%
18%
45%
17%
9M FY23
9M FY23
29%
32%
By Vehicle segment
FY22
68%
16%
15%
PV
9M FY23
CV
OHV
69%
14%
13%
20%
1.5%
3.5%
E2W/E3W
17
Our Strategic Priorities
Electrification
Global Market Significance
Diversification
Technology
18
We have introduced one more product to the market
Autonomous /Connected
Electric
GaN Inverter
Integrated Controller with DC-DC Converter
Liquid Cooled Inverter
High Voltage Inverter
Motors for Bots and Industrial Automation
High Voltage Traction Motors
Integrated P4 e-Axle
Magnet-free Motors, EMSM and SRM designs
ADAS Sensors
Predictive Active Suspension Integrated Motor Controller Module
Low Voltage Inverter
Mid-mount Drive Motor (PMSM)
Hub Wheel Motor (BLDC)
Reduction Drive Unit
Axial Flux Motors
EV Rotor Shaft
Belt-driven Starter Generator (BSG)
Rigid e-Axle
EDL
Independent suspension e-Axle
Helical Gears
Epicyclic Set
Park Gear
Diff Gears
Starter Motors
Spool Gear
Diff Assembly
Net Spiral Bevel Gears
Active Biased Differential
Non-ferrous Parts
Future Products
Current Products
Legacy Products
Note: The product images shown are for illustration purposes only and may not be an exact representation of the products
19
Q3 FY23 Financial Update
Our final drive gears
Q3 FY23 Financials
1 Revenue (Rs. mn)
BEV
YoY: 39%
6,850
4,941
1,305
1,349
1,733
26.4%
27.2%
EBITDA (Rs. mn)
EBITDA Margin (%)
PAT (Rs. mn)
PAT Margin (%)
YoY: 43%
1,862
YoY: 24%
YoY: 45%
1,071
864
738
17.5%
14.9%
15.6%
Q3 FY22
Q3 FY23
Q3 FY22
Q3 FY23
Q3 FY22 Q3 FY22 (adj) Q3 FY23
2
o Highest ever BEV revenue o Up 29% YoY o 26% of total revenue
o Non-BEV Revenue grew by a robust 42% while light vehicle sales in our top-3 markets (North America, India, and Europe) grew by only18%
Notes: 1. 2.
Revenue includes net gain from foreign exchange Excluding exceptional income
o EBITDA Margin is higher by ~0.8% mainly due
to product mix
o PAT margin improved to 15.6% due to
higher EBITDA margin
o Gain from operating leverage has impact of higher RM
helped offset prices
o Sequentially, EBITDA margin has improved by
~200 bps
21
9M FY23 Financials
1 Revenue (Rs. mn)
EBITDA (Rs. mn)
EBITDA Margin (%)
PAT (Rs. mn)
PAT Margin (%)
BEV
YoY: 22%
15,806
19,316
4,237
YoY: 17%
4,944
YoY: 7%
2,569
YoY: 18%
2,755
2,343
26.8%
25.6%
3,556
4,670
16.3%
14.8%
14.3%
9M FY22
9M FY23
9M FY22
9M FY23
9M FY22
9M FY22 (adj)
2
9M FY23
o BEV Revenue grew by 31% and constitutes
25% of total revenue
o Non-BEV Revenue grew by 20% while light vehicle sales in our top-3 markets (North America, India, and Europe) grew by only 1%
largely due to o EBITDA Margin was lower increase of RM prices in “arithmetic effect” despite material price passthrough) despite positive impact of product mix
(because
o Lower net finance cost has resulted into transmission between
better margin EBITDA and PAT
Notes: 1. 2.
Revenue includes net gain from foreign exchange Excluding exceptional income
22
Key Ratios
VA/Employee cost
RoCE (%)
RoE (%)
5.1
5.2
5.7
6.4
28.8%
36.1% 32.4% 28.5%
30.4%
34.6% 36.3%
26.6%
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Dec-22
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Dec-22
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Dec-22
Net Debt to EBITDA
Working Capital Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.1
4.6
5.0
4.7
3.9
0.76
0.43
(0.01)
(0.12)
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Dec-22
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Dec-22
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Dec-22
Note:
1) 2)
3)
VA/Employee Cost = Material margin/ (Employee cost + Manpower cost on hiring) ROCE = LTM EBIT/ Average tangible capital employed
ROE = LTM PAT/ Average tangible net worth
Net Debt to EBITDA = Short-term & long-term debt less cash, bank balances & mutual fund investments / LTM EBITDA
4) 5) Working Capital Turnover = LTM Revenue/ Average net working capital
Fixed asset turnover = LTM Revenue/ Average Tangible net block
6) 7) Mar-20 numbers are based on pro-forma financials 8)
RoCE and RoE for earlier years have been recalculated due to merger
23
ESG Update
We have published our first sustainability report
Our ESG Goals
Environment
Social
Governance
• Providing low carbon
• Maintaining highest
• Zero tolerance for
mobility solutions
• Resource efficiency improvement and management
level of Quality, Health and Safety
corruption
• Becoming an equal opportunity provider
• Zero non-compliance with regulations & laws
• Carbon footprint
• Ensuring social impact
reduction
Linkage to UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDG)
Click on the image to read the report
25
Q&A
New Product Development Discussion
Appendix
Inside view of our manufacturing plant at Manesar, Haryana
One Vision To become one of the World’s most Respected and Valuable Auto Technology companies for our Customers, Employees & Shareholders.
28
Our story so far…
Phase - 1
• 18 Customers • 2 Plants • 1 Product
Revenue in INR millions
FY99 – 9MFY23 annualized Avg EBITDA margin 26.2% Revenue CAGR 35.9% Industry CAGR 9.5%
FY99– FY11 Avg. EBITDA margin 21.5% Revenue CAGR 50.6% Industry CAGR 14.6%
Phase - 4
• Started journey as public company
• 68 customers • 9 plants • 15 products
25,755
*9M FY23 Annualized
21,306
19,316
9M FY23
Phase - 2
• 22 Customers • 2 Plants • 2 Products
Phase - 3
• Acquisition of Comstar • 47 Customers (37+10) • 9 Plants (5+4) • 10 Products (5+5)
FY12– FY16 Avg. EBITDA margin 25.0% Revenue CAGR 10.6% Industry CAGR 1.7%
FY17– FY22 Avg. EBITDA margin 27.4% Revenue CAGR 34.2% Industry CAGR 1.4%
15,663
12,201
6,992
6,088
5,033
697
910
1,135
1,348
1,174
1,492
2,207
2,807
2,616
3,309
3,456
3,653
16
9 9 Y F
120
223
183
221
0 0 Y F
1 0 Y F
2 0 Y F
3 0 Y F
399
4 0 Y F
Notes: 1. 2.
FY20 onwards financials include Comstar Industry data source: SIAM
5 0 Y F
6 0 Y F
7 0 Y F
8 0 Y F
9 0 Y F
0 1 Y F
1 1 Y F
2 1 Y F
3 1 Y F
4 1 Y F
5 1 Y F
6 1 Y F
7 1 Y F
8 1 Y F
9 1 Y F
0 2 Y F
1 2 Y F
2 2 Y F
* 3 2 Y F
29
Guided by Values
Agility
34.2%
Growth
5-year Revenue
CAGR
Vitality
Integrity
Frugality
27.4%
Margins
5-year Avg.
EBITDA
>28%
Returns ROE
Each Year
(FY17-FY22)
30
Vertically-integrated and modular electro-mechanical and autonomous solutions provider for the new EPIC value chain
Customer Mobility Interface Provider
Powertrain Solutions Provider
OEM
Integrated Autonomous Solutions Provider
Electro- mechanical Modules Supplier (SW+HW)
Tier 1 Supplier
Autonomous Modules Supplier (SW+HW)
Radar Boards & Antenna Design Embedded & Application Software
• • • Artificial Intelligence • Machine Learning Algorithms •
Zonal architecture and multi-sensor systems
Electrical & Mechanical Components Supplier
Tier 2-n Supplier
Autonomous Components Supplier
Electric Vehicle Solutions
Traditional Auto Supply Chain
Autonomous Driving
.. or any other radar chip manufacturer
31
Established Global Presence to Serve Customers Locally
USA Location
Capacity3
Tecumseh, MI 1 mn starter motors
Ypsilanti, MI
Belgium
Genk
Sweden
Gothenburg
Germany
Cologne
China Location Capacity3
Hangzhou 1 mn starter motors
7 of the world’s top 10 PV OEMs1a
3 of the world’s top 10 CV OEMs1b
7 of the world’s top 10 tractor OEMs1b
Irapuato 1 mn starter motors
India
Location Capacity3
Mexico Location Capacity3
5 of the world’s top 15 EV OEMs1c
4 of the Indian top 15 Indian e-2-Wheeler OEMs1d
10 3
1 8 1
Manufacturing Plant
R&D Centre
Tool & Die Shop
Warehouse
International Sales Office
Gurugram 31.9 mn gears
Manesar
1.2 mn differential assemblies
Pune
9.3 mn gears
Chennai
3.8 mn starter motors 0.15 mn traction motors
Hosur, Sanand, Rudrapur, Mehsana
Notes: 1. 2.
Data Source: a) BofA Global Automobiles Report; b) Ricardo Report; c) EV-Volumes; d) Vahan Database; Company Analysis Capacity as of March 2022
32
Product Summary
Belt Starter Generator
Starter Motor
Differential Bevel Gears
Passenger Vehicles
Starter Motor
Off Highway Vehicles
Differential Assembly
43
2
1
Spiral Bevel Gears
5
4
3
1
2
Differential Assembly
Reverse Idler
Portal Axle Gears
Differential Bevel Gears
Starter Motor*
Inter-Axle Gear Set
Coupling/ Sleeves
Differential Bevel Gears
Commercial Vehicles
5
Epicyclic Geartrain/Gears
1
2
3
4
* Product under development
33
Product Summary
Controller
Electric 2-Wheelers
Drive Motor (PMSM)
Traction Motor* (PMSM)
Differential Bevel Gears
Electric Cars
Hub Wheel Motor (BLDC)
1
3
2
Controller*
3
4
7
5
6
Drive Motor (PMSM)
Electric 3-Wheelers
2
1
5
Spool Gears
Epicyclic Geartrain
e-Axles
Integrated Motor Controller Module (for Predictive Active Suspension)
Electronically Locking Differential (EDL)
Differential Assembly
* Product under development
1
2
3
Controller
34
Revenue share from BEV has grown 22x over 4 years, with absolute BEV revenue growth at 36x
Revenue from BEV (%)
BEV Segment Revenue (Rs. mn)
25%
25%
5,042
36x
6,227
*9M FY23 Annualized
19x
14%
1.3%
2.0%
174
234
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
9M FY23
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23*
2,057
4,670
9M FY23
35
Market Shares for Differential Gears and Starter Motors
Global Market Share of Differential Gears1
Global Market Share of Starter Motors1
While we continue to dominate the Indian market for Differential Gears
CY19
4.5%
CY20
5.0%
CY21
6.3%
CY22
7.2%
CY19
2.5%
CY20
3.0%
CY21
4.6%
CY22
4.1%
Passenger Vehicles
Commercial Vehicles
Tractors
55-60%2
80-90%2
75-85%2
Notes: 1. 2.
As per Ricardo report; starter motor market share across light vehicles As per CRISIL report dated Feb 2021
36
Illustration of change in margin with 100% RM cost passthrough
(numbers in INR)
Revenue
Material Cost
Material Profit
Material Margin
Before RM price increase
RM price increase @15%
After RM price increase
100.00
45.00
55.00
55.0%
+6.75
+6.75
-
350 bps
106.75
51.75
55.00
51.5%
Ceteris paribus, 15% RM price increase should lead to 350 bps margin decline even with 100% RM cost passthrough
37