Sona Blw Precision Forgings Limited has informed the Exchange about Investor Presentation
Q4 & FY23 Earnings Presentation
03 May 2023
Disclaimer
This presentation and the accompanying slides (the “Presentation”), which have been prepared by Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. (the “Company”), have been prepared solely for information purposes and do not constitute any offer, recommendation or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities, and shall not form the basis or be relied on in connection with any contract or binding commitment whatsoever. No offering of securities of the Company will be made except by means of a statutory offering document containing detailed information about the Company.
This Presentation has been prepared by the Company based on information and data which the Company considers reliable, but the Company makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, whatsoever, and no reliance shall be placed on, the truth, accuracy, completeness, fairness and reasonableness of the contents of this Presentation. This Presentation may not be all inclusive and may not contain all of the information that you may consider material. Any liability in respect of the contents of, or any omission from, this Presentation is expressly excluded.
Certain matters discussed in this presentation may contains certain forward-looking statements concerning the Company’s future business prospects and business profitability. Such forward- looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the Company’s ability to manage growth, the fluctuations in earnings, competition (both domestic and international), economic growth in India and abroad, ability to attract and retain highly skilled professionals, time and cost over runs on contracts, the Company’s ability to manage its international operations, Government policies and actions regulations, interest and other fiscal costs generally prevailing in the economy. The Company does not undertake to make any announcement in case any of these forward-looking statements become materially incorrect in future or update any forward-looking statements made from time to time by or on behalf of the Company.
© Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (Sona Comstar). Reproduction and distribution of this Presentation without the permission of Sona Comstar is prohibited.
2
Our Management
Mr. Kiran Manohar Deshmukh Group CTO
Mr. V. Vikram Verma CEO, Driveline Business
Mr. Sat Mohan Gupta CEO, Motor Business
Mr. Rohit Nanda Group CFO
Mr. Vivek Vikram Singh MD & Group CEO
Mr. Amit Mishra Head, Investor Relations
3
Q4 FY23 Financial Performance Highlights
7,440 mn | 35%
2,014 mn | 49%
1,198 mn | 54%
Revenue | YoY Growth
EBITDA | YoY Growth
PAT | YoY Growth1
27.1% EBITDA Margin
16.1% PAT Margin
2,037 mn | 37%
BEV Revenue | YoY Growth
28% Q4 FY23 Revenue Share
from BEV
Notes: 1.
Excluding exceptional income of Q4 FY22
4
FY23 Financial Performance Highlights
26,756 mn | 26%
6,958 mn | 25%
3,953 mn | 28%
Revenue | YoY Growth
EBITDA | YoY Growth
PAT | YoY Growth1
26.0% EBITDA Margin
14.8% PAT Margin
30.4%
RoCE2
26.6%
RoE3
Notes: 1. 2. 3.
Excluding exceptional income of FY22 ROCE = LTM EBIT/ Average tangible capital employed ROE = LTM PAT/ Average tangible net worth
5
Rising against the Tide
26%
26,756
CAGR: 30%
36%
21,306
28%
15,663
85.29
12,201
83.15
-3%
79.91
79.22
-1%
-4%
CAGR: -2%
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
Global light vehicle sales volume (mn)
Sona Comstar Revenue (Rs. mn)
Data source for global light vehicle sales: Nomura Global Autos Monthly
6
Update on our Strategic Priorities
Net formed differential gears coming out of our forging press
Update on our Strategic Priorities
Electrification
Global Market Significance
Diversification
Technology
8
Sizeable and Increasing Presence in EVs
25%
26%
14%
1.3x
5,042
6,707
3.3x
2,057
2.8x
15
1.4x
30
42
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY21
FY22
FY23
Revenue Share from BEV
BEV segment revenue
Cumulative No. of EV Programs
41 (10+9+22)1
EV Programs1 awarded across
25 customers as at the end of
Q3 FY23
+1
awarded
42 (10+10+22)1
EV Programs1 awarded across
26 customers as at the end of
Q4 FY23
Notes: 1.
Include only BEV and PHEV programs currently in serial production as well as in the orderbook; numbers in brackets to be read as (# of programs in fully ramped up production + # of programs in ramp-up + # of programs not yet in production)
9
This new order win strengthens our presence in Electric CVs, with new products and increased revenue potential
Final Drive Differential + Intermediate Gears + Input/Rotor Shaft
For Class 4 Electric CV
North American New Age OEM of CV
₹ 5,010 mn
addition in our orderbook
Q4 FY24
SOP Year
Our journey of increase in revenue potential per electric vehicle
10
42 EV programs across 261 different customers
North America 5 Customers 3 12
9
+1
Europe2 5 Customers 1 5
6 2
12
+1
7
No. of programs customers
22 10
3
3
-
-
9
3
8
3
5
5
-
-
Programs in fully ramped-up production
Programs in ramp-up or not yet in production
Programs for geartrain components
Programs for traction motors, IMCM and PHEV starters
Programs for e-Axle
Asia 4 Customers 2 2 3 1
4
19
India 15 Customers 4 7
15 9
3
+x denotes the change during Q4 FY23
Notes: 1. 2.
2 customers are present in more than one geography Europe geography includes the UK
11
Our Strategic Priorities
Electrification
Global Market Significance
Diversification
Technology
12
Orders worth Rs. 80 bn were added to our orderbook during FY23
71
115
49
166
35
7
Programs won in FY23
New customers added in FY23
Global Market Share of Differential Gears1
6.3%
7.2%
CY21
CY22
Global Market Share of Starter Motors1
4.6%
4.1%
CY21
CY22
EV
Non-EV
Notes: 1.
As per Ricardo’s market size estimates; starter motor market share is across light vehicles report
13
EV contributes 77% to our net order book1 of ₹215 billion (8x FY23 revenue)
238 bn
Orderbook at the end of Q3 FY23
# of Programs
# of Customers
28 bn
Orders consumed from matured and ramp-up programs during Q4 FY23
EV Rs. 166 Billion (77%)
66% 17 8
PV
5 bn
Orders added for programs won in Q4 FY23
215 bn
Orderbook at the end of Q4 FY23
Non-EV Rs. 49 Billion (23%)
8% 10 9
3% 5 5
8% 28 12
9% 22 8
6% 43 16
2W &3W
CV &OHV
PV
CV
OHV
Notes: 1.
Net order book means the aggregate revenue from awarded programs which are either yet to start production or are yet to fully ramp up, in the next 10 years, after adjusting for the negative impact of all programs that are expected to reach end of life or be phased out. We have also applied a discount to accommodate any unforeseen delays or changes in program launches that may happen in the future.
14
Our Strategic Priorities
Electrification
Global Market Significance
Diversification
Technology
15
Diversified Revenue Mix – By Powertrain
Battery EV increasing as a % of our revenue continues to be our dominant and secular theme
Our pure ICE dependence continues to reduce steadily going from 25% in FY21 to 15% in FY23
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
2%
29%
42%
27%
14%
27%
34%
25%
25%
26%
31%
18%
26%
21%
38%
15%
Battery EV
Micro-hybrid / Hybrid
Power source Neutral
ICE Dependent
16
Diversified Revenue Mix
By Geography
1%
18%
By Product
1% 1%
3%
33%
17%
27%
22%
FY22
FY22
26%
7%
1%
25%
4% 1%
4%
26%
23%
20%
43%
15%
FY23
29%
32%
FY23
21%
By Vehicle segment
FY22
68%
16%
15%
1.5%
PV
CV
OHV
E2W/E3W
FY23
69%
15%
12%
4%
17
Our Strategic Priorities
Electrification
Global Market Significance
Diversification
Technology
18
We introduced 4 new products to the market in FY23
Autonomous /Connected
Electric
GaN Inverter
Integrated Controller with DC-DC Converter
Liquid Cooled Inverter
High Voltage Inverter
Motors for Bots and Industrial Automation
Magnet-free Motors, EMSM and SRM designs
High Voltage Traction Motors
Integrated P4 e-Axle
ADAS Sensors
Predictive Active Suspension Integrated Motor Controller Module
Low Voltage Inverter
Mid-mount Drive Motor (PMSM)
Hub Wheel Motor (BLDC)
Belt-driven Starter Generator (BSG)
Independent suspension e-Axle
Input/Rotor Shaft
Intermediate Gears
Axial Flux Motors
Reduction Drive Unit
Rigid e-Axle
Net Spiral Bevel Gears
EDL
Park Gear
Non-ferrous Parts
Future Products
Current Products
Legacy Products
Note: The product images shown are for illustration purposes only and may not be an exact representation of the products
19
Diff Gears
Starter Motors
Diff Assembly
Spool Gear
Epicyclic Set
Active Biased Differential
Q4 & FY23 Financial Update
Our final drive gears
EBITDA (Rs. mn)
EBITDA Margin (%)
PAT (Rs. mn)
PAT Margin (%)
Q4 FY23 Financials
1 Revenue (Rs. mn)
BEV
YoY: 35%
7,440
5,500
1,486
2,037
YoY: 49%
2,014
1,354
24.6%
27.1%
Q4 FY22
Q4 FY23
Q4 FY22
Q4 FY23
o Highest ever BEV revenue o Up 37% YoY o 28% of total sales
o Non-BEV Revenue grew by a robust 35% while light vehicle sales in our top-3 markets (North America, India, and Europe) grew by 11%
o EBITDA Margin is higher by ~2.5% largely due to positive impact from operating leverage and product mix
YoY: 14%
1,047
1,198
YoY: 57%
1,223
778
19.0%
16.1%
14.1%
16.4%
Q4 FY22 Q4 FY23 Q4 FY22 2
(adj)
Q4 FY23 (adj)
o Lower net finance cost and depreciation (as % of revenue) has resulted into better margin transmission between EBITDA and adjusted PAT
o PAT
for Q4FY23
is expenses
adjusted related
exceptional diligence work for acquisition
for to
Notes: 1. 2.
Revenue includes net gain from foreign exchange Adjusted PAT as shown on page no. 22 of Q4 FY22 earnings presentation
o PAT for Q4FY22 is adjusted for one time
tax impact
21
FY23 Financials
1 Revenue (Rs. mn)
BEV
YoY: 26%
26,756
21,306
5,042
FY22
6,707
FY23
EBITDA (Rs. mn)
EBITDA Margin (%)
PAT (Rs. mn)
PAT Margin (%)
YoY: 25%
6,958
5,591
26.2%
26.0%
YoY: 9%
3,615
3,953
YoY: 29%
3,978
3,088
17.0%
14.8%
14.5%
14.9%
FY22
FY23
FY22
FY23
2 FY22 (adj) FY23 (adj)
o BEV Revenue grew by 33% and constitutes
26% of total revenue
o Non-BEV Revenue grew by 23% while light vehicle sales in our top-3 markets (North America, India, and Europe) grew by only 2%
o EBITDA Margin was lower by ~0.2% despite positive impact of product mix and operating leverage, largely due to increase in RM prices (because of “arithmetic effect” despite material price passthrough)
Notes: 1. 2.
Revenue includes net gain from foreign exchange Adjusted PAT as shown on page no. 23 of Q4 FY22 earnings presentation
o Lower net finance cost has resulted into transmission between
better margin EBITDA and adjusted PAT
o PAT for FY23 is adjusted for exceptional expenses related to diligence work for acquisition
o PAT for FY22 is adjusted for one time tax
impact and IPO expense reversal
22
FCFO of INR 1,996 mn in FY23
Numbers in Rs. mn
Free Cash Flow from Operations: INR 1,996 mn
Opening Cash as on 1st April 2022
Net Cash Flow from Operations
Capex
Other Cash Deployments
Closing Cash as on 31st March 2023
EBITDA
∆ Working capital
6,958
(812)
Tax paid
(1102)
Others
303
Investments
(2,287)
Net loan drawdown
1,471
Dividend
(1,199)
Others
(76)
23
Key Ratios
VA/Employee cost
RoCE (%)
RoE (%)
5.1
5.2
5.7
6.4
28.8%
36.1% 32.4% 30.4%
30.4%
34.6% 36.3%
26.6%
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Net Debt to EBITDA
Working Capital Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.2
4.6
5.0
4.7
3.9
0.76
0.43
(0.01)
(0.12)
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Note:
1) 2)
3)
VA/Employee Cost = Material margin/ (Employee cost + Manpower cost on hiring) ROCE = LTM EBIT/ Average tangible capital employed
ROE = LTM PAT/ Average tangible net worth
Net Debt to EBITDA = Short-term & long-term debt less cash, bank balances & mutual fund investments / LTM EBITDA
4) 5) Working Capital Turnover = LTM Revenue/ Average net working capital
Fixed asset turnover = LTM Revenue/ Average Tangible net block
6) 7) Mar-20 numbers are based on pro-forma financials 8)
RoCE and RoE for earlier years have been recalculated due to merger
24
ESG Update
We implemented an innovative solution to reduce waste disposal by 75% and recycle 12,000 liters of water per day
Previous Process
Implementation of Zero Liquid Discharge Treatment Process
Die Lubricant (Graphite + Demineralized Water)
Die Lubricant (Graphite + Rejuvenated Demineralized Water)
Rejuvenated Water: saving of 12,000 liters/day
Forging Process
Forging Process
Used Die Lubricant 16,000 liters/day
Used Die Lubricant 16,000 liters/day
Filtration
Filtration of oil through Ultra-filtration (UF) & Reverse Osmosis (RO)
Skimming
Separating out oil from the mixture
Squeezing
Treatment with Poly Electrolyte for flakes formation
Flash Mixer
Treatment with Alum & Lime for PH control
Disposed through authorized channel
Sent for Treatment Process
Equalization
To keep the solids suspended in the mixture
Note: Anyone who wishes to implement this system in their forging plant may reach out to us. We will be delighted to share this knowledge for the benefit of the environment
26
Q&A
New Product Development Discussion
Appendix
Inside view of our manufacturing plant at Manesar, Haryana
One Vision To become one of the World’s most Respected and Valuable Auto Technology companies for our Customers, Employees & Shareholders.
29
Our story so far…
Phase - 1
• 18 Customers • 2 Plants • 1 Product
Revenue in INR millions
FY99 – FY23 Avg EBITDA margin 26.3% Revenue CAGR 36.1% Industry CAGR 9.6%
FY99– FY11 Avg. EBITDA margin 21.5% Revenue CAGR 50.6% Industry CAGR 14.6%
Phase - 2
• 22 Customers • 2 Plants • 2 Products
Phase - 3
• Acquisition of Comstar • 47 Customers (37+10) • 9 Plants (5+4) • 10 Products (5+5)
Phase - 4
• Started journey as public company
• 68 customers • 9 plants • 17 products
26,756
21,306
FY12– FY16 Avg. EBITDA margin 25.0% Revenue CAGR 10.6% Industry CAGR 1.7%
FY17– FY23 Avg. EBITDA margin 27.0% Revenue CAGR 32.9% Industry CAGR 4.9%
15,663
12,201
6,992
6,088
5,033
697
910
1,135
1,348
1,174
1,492
2,207
2,807
2,616
3,309
3,456
3,653
16
9 9 Y F
120
223
183
221
0 0 Y F
1 0 Y F
2 0 Y F
3 0 Y F
399
4 0 Y F
Notes: 1. 2.
FY20 onwards financials include Comstar Industry data source: SIAM
5 0 Y F
6 0 Y F
7 0 Y F
8 0 Y F
9 0 Y F
0 1 Y F
1 1 Y F
2 1 Y F
3 1 Y F
4 1 Y F
5 1 Y F
6 1 Y F
7 1 Y F
8 1 Y F
9 1 Y F
0 2 Y F
1 2 Y F
2 2 Y F
3 2 Y F
30
Guided by Values
Agility
34.5%
Growth
5-year Revenue
CAGR
Vitality
Integrity
Frugality
26.8%
Margins
5-year Avg.
EBITDA
>25%
Returns ROE
Each Year
(FY19-FY23)
31
Vertically-integrated and modular electro-mechanical and autonomous solutions provider for the new EPIC value chain
Customer Mobility Interface Provider
Powertrain Solutions Provider
OEM
Integrated Autonomous Solutions Provider
Electro- mechanical Modules Supplier (SW+HW)
Tier 1 Supplier
Autonomous Modules Supplier (SW+HW)
Radar Boards & Antenna Design Embedded & Application Software
• • • Artificial Intelligence • Machine Learning Algorithms •
Zonal architecture and multi-sensor systems
Electrical & Mechanical Components Supplier
Tier 2-n Supplier
Autonomous Components Supplier
Electric Vehicle Solutions
Traditional Auto Supply Chain
Autonomous Driving
.. or any other radar chip manufacturer
32
Established Global Presence to Serve Customers Locally
USA Location
Capacity3
Tecumseh, MI 1 mn starter motors
Ypsilanti, MI
Belgium
Genk
China Location Capacity3
Hangzhou 1 mn starter motors
7 of the world’s top 10 PV OEMs1a
3 of the world’s top 10 CV OEMs1b
Germany
Cologne
7 of the world’s top 10 tractor OEMs1b
Irapuato 1 mn starter motors
India
Location Capacity3
Mexico Location Capacity3
5 of the world’s top 15 EV OEMs1c
4 of the Indian top 15 Indian e-2-Wheeler OEMs1d
9 3
1 8
Manufacturing Plant
R&D Centre
Tool & Die Shop
Warehouse
Gurugram 44.6 mn gears
Manesar
2.0 mn differential assemblies
Pune
11.8 mn gears
Chennai
3.8 mn starter motors 0.4 mn traction motors
Hosur, Sanand, Rudrapur, Mehsana
Notes: 1. 2.
Data Source: a) BofA Global Automobiles Report; b) Ricardo Report; c) EV-Volumes; d) Vahan Database; Company Analysis Capacity as of March 2023
33
Product Summary
Belt Starter Generator
Starter Motor
Differential Bevel Gears
Passenger Vehicles
Starter Motor
Off Highway Vehicles
Differential Assembly
43
2
1
Spiral Bevel Gears
5
4
3
1
2
Differential Assembly
Reverse Idler
Portal Axle Gears
Differential Bevel Gears
Starter Motor*
Inter-Axle Gear Set
Coupling/ Sleeves
Differential Bevel Gears
Commercial Vehicles
5
Epicyclic Geartrain/Gears
1
2
3
4
* Product under development
34
Product Summary
Electric Cars
Electronically Locking Differential (EDL)
3
4
9
8
7 5 6
Epicyclic Geartrain
Spool Gears
Integrated Motor Controller Module (for Predictive Active Suspension)
5
1
2
Traction Motor*
Differential Assembly
Electric Commercial Vehicles
Intermediate Gears
Controller*
Differential Bevel Gears
4 5
6
3
2
1
Electric 2-Wheelers
1
3
2
Hub Wheel Motor
Electric 3-Wheelers
Drive Motor
Controller
1 2
3
* Product under development
Input/Rotor Shaft
e-Axles
35
Electrification: Our Approach to Market
Power Rating
> 600 kW
300 – 600 kW
100 – 300 kW
40 – 100 kW
15 – 40 kW
5 – 15 kW
<5 kW
Driveline Solutions
Core Strength: High Torque, High Power Density
Commercial
Personal
EV Products
Motor Solutions
Core Strength: Low Voltage, High Power Density
Personal
Commercial
Epicyclic Geartrain
Spool Gears
EDL
Final Drive assembly
Differential assemblies
Intermediate Gears & Input/Rotor Shaft
Differential gears
SRM Motor
Controllers
E-Axles
Drive Motors
Hub-wheel Motors
In serial production or in orderbook
To be added between CY23-25
36
Revenue share from BEV has grown 20x over 4 years, with absolute BEV revenue growth at 39x
Revenue from BEV (%)
BEV Segment Revenue (Rs. mn)
20x
14%
1.3%
2.0%
25%
26%
5,042
39x
6,707
2,057
174
234
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
37
Market Shares for Differential Gears and Starter Motors
Global Market Share of Differential Gears1
Global Market Share of Starter Motors1
While we continue to dominate the Indian market for Differential Gears
CY19
4.5%
CY20
5.0%
CY21
6.3%
CY22
7.2%
CY19
2.5%
CY20
3.0%
CY21
4.6%
CY22
4.1%
Passenger Vehicles
Commercial Vehicles
Tractors
55-60%2
80-90%2
75-85%2
Notes: 1. 2.
As per Ricardo report; starter motor market share across light vehicles As per CRISIL report dated Feb 2021
38
Illustration of change in margin with 100% RM cost passthrough
(numbers in INR)
Revenue
Material Cost
Material Profit
Material Margin
Before RM price increase
RM price increase @15%
After RM price increase
100.00
45.00
55.00
55.0%
+6.75
+6.75
-
350 bps
106.75
51.75
55.00
51.5%
Ceteris paribus, 15% RM price increase should lead to 350 bps margin decline even with 100% RM cost passthrough
39