The Great Eastern Shipping Company Limited
4,306words
3turns
0analyst exchanges
0executives
Key numbers — 40 extracted
rs,
INR 595
INR 1,263
INR 1,000
INR 6.30
INR
6.30
INR 596
24%
38%
22%
33%
21%
Guidance — 1 items
Utilization
opening
“• While this absolute count will be still lower than the peak in 2013-14, the fleet base has also reduced over this • period.”
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Speaking time
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Opening remarks
Demand Side
• Ramp up in demand from Middle East was the prime mover at the start of this upcycle. After a flurry of tendering activity over last 12-18 months, the focus for most operators & contractors has now shifted towards preparing and mobilizing the rigs against awarded contracts. • Activity in other regions is also picking up. Recent market reports indicate that in some regions, tenders have been cancelled or reissued due to limited supply
Utilization
• The fleet utilization calculated basis rigs under contract has been inching up gradually. Once all the awarded rigs commence their contracts, the working rig count it expected to reach 380-390 units. • While this absolute count will be still lower than the peak in 2013-14, the fleet base has also reduced over this • period. As a result, the utilization % is expected to reach levels similar to those in 2013-14. The fleet base also includes some old cold stacked units. If these units are not activated due to technical challenges involved in reactivation, the effective supply-demand balance will remain extremely tight.
Supply Side
• No Jack Up new building orders have been placed for the past many years. • Many yards have repurposed their capacity towards other offshore projects. • Channel checks indicate that for yards to consider taking fresh orders, the pricing needs to be significantly higher than previous highs. • Given these developments, new building supply is expected to be fairly limited over the next few years. GE Shipping – Q4 & FY23 Results GE Shipping – Q2FY24 Results 32 FLEET SUPPLY The Great Eastern Shipping Ca Ltd. 7948 2023 Source: Industry Reports GE Shipping – Q2FY24 Results 33 NumberJack-up RigsPSV+AHTSVCurrent Fleet496 3,390 Under Contract Fleet358 2,324 Order Book21 79 O/B to Current Fleet4.2%2.3%Total Scrapping since Jan 2016 (Nos)143 668 No of Vessels/Rigs more than 20/30 years old (% Fleet)33%20%Cold stacked more than 3 years54 477 MARKET TRENDS: UTILISATION The Great Eastern Shipping Ca Ltd. 7948 2023 450 400 350 300 250 200 Jack Up Utilisation : Gradual Improvement % Util 85 80 75 70 6
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